Expected Goal Threats
These attacking options combine low ownership with strong projected goal involvement metrics.
- Thierno Barry (Everton | FWD)
- Ownership: 8.0% (Under 10% threshold)
- Key Stat: Expected Goal Threat
- FPL Context: Everton’s lead attack focal point offers significant goal probability while keeping ownership under 10%.
- Kevin Schade (Brentford | MID)
- Ownership: 8.6%
- Key Stat: Expected Goal Threat
- FPL Context: Out-of-position attacking threat in Brentford’s frontline.
- Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth | MID)
- Ownership: 6.6%
- Key Stat: Expected Goal Threat
- FPL Context: Strong set-piece involvement and creative volume provide high goal-involvement probability.
- Leif Davis (Ipswich Town | DEF)
- Ownership: 6.8%
- Key Stat: Expected Goal / Assist Threat
- FPL Context: High underlying expected assist (xA) metrics from set pieces and wide key passes.
- Jayden Bogle (Leeds | DEF)
- Ownership: 6.2%
- Key Stat: Expected Goal Threat
- FPL Context: High positioning in wide attacking transitions provides significant differential upside.
- Tyrick Mitchell (Crystal Palace | DEF)
- Ownership: 6.0%
- Key Stat: Expected Goal Threat
- FPL Context: Flank coverage with consistent box entries on wing-back rotations.
- Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton | FWD)
- Ownership: 1.7%
- Key Stat: Expected Goal Threat
- FPL Context: Ultra-low differential option (<2% owned) with projected return upside in rotational minutes.
Save Volume & Shot-Stopping Differentials
Targeting goalkeepers projected for >6 saves, ideal for accumulating crucial save points alongside bonus point potential.
| Player | Team | Pos | Ownership | Expected Metric |
| Jordan Pickford | Everton | GK | 9.0% | > 6 Saves Expected |
| Caoimhín Kelleher | Brentford | GK | 6.1% | > 6 Saves Expected |
| James Trafford | Leeds | GK | 5.4% | > 6 Saves Expected |
Expected Defensive Contribution (DefCon)
Players projected for high defensive work rates (tackles, interceptions, clearances, and duels) to build a solid baseline floor.
- Bobby Thomas (Coventry City | DEF) — 8.6% Owned: Premium defensive involvement baseline across key defensive actions.
- Thierno Barry (Everton | FWD) — 8.0% Owned: High press work-rate yields notable defensive actions for an attacking asset.
- Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth | MID) — 6.6% Owned: Defensive contribution metric coverage combined with high creative output.
- Vitalii Mykolenko (Everton | DEF) — 4.2% Owned: Strong tackle and clearance volume in Everton’s defensive setup.
- Vitaly Janelt (Brentford | MID) — 2.5% Owned: Midfield anchor delivering consistent defensive action counts per 90.
- Anan Khalaili (Crystal Palace | DEF) — 0.3% Owned: Deep differential option with high defensive work rate.
Clean Sheet Odds & Probabilities
Defensive and midfield assets offering maximum potential for 4-point clean sheet payouts.
- Jordan Pickford (Everton | GK) — 9.0% Owned
- Gianluigi Donnarumma (Man City | GK) — 7.8% Owned
- Kevin Schade (Brentford | MID) — 8.6% Owned (Gets clean sheet bonus point as MID)
- Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth | MID) — 6.6% Owned (Gets clean sheet bonus point as MID)